Modeling and Future Scenario Setting of Urban Energy Demand Based on District Energy System

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  • 地区を基本単位とした都市エネルギー需要のモデル化と将来シナリオに関する研究
  • チク オ キホン タンイ ト シタ トシ エネルギー ジュヨウ ノ モデルカ ト ショウライ シナリオ ニ カンスル ケンキュウ

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Abstract

City-level energy consumption is modeled for Osaka City. This model decomposes energy supply and consumption system in total city area into energy systems in districts of 500m grid. By the cluster analysis which uses information on building floor area of the district, these districts are classified into 8 categories. The representative district is selected for each category and energy use in the district is simulated based on detailed information obtained by field survey. From simulated energy consumption of representative district, total energy consumption in Osaka City is estimated. In this paper, the scenario of energy system transformation in the future is proposed for each district and the potential of greenhouse gas reduction and the necessity of land use change are discussed.

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