アジア巨大都市の民生部門二酸化炭素排出量予測と対策評価に関する研究

• 松本 亨

  北九州市立大学国際環境工学部環境空間デザイン学科

• 章 新東

  吉林建築工程学院・ハルビン工業大学ポスドク

• 左 健

  北九州市立大学国際環境工学部環境空間デザイン学科

書誌事項

タイトル別名

• Forcast of CO<SUB>2</SUB> Emission and Evaluation of CO<SUB>2</SUB> Reduction Measures in Residential and Commercial Sectors of Asian Mega-cities

抄録

Heretofore, models of residential energy consumption and commercial sectors were developed, and development trends of energy demand and CO₂ emissions in residential and commercial sectors were examined for the four Asian mega-cities of Tokyo, Seoul, Beijing and Shanghai. In this paper, effects and sensitivity of strategies in consideration of fuel type factor, energy related appliance, housing and lifestyle factors was carried out by scenario approach for reduction of CO₂ emission from energy consumption. Assessment results show that through improvement of factor synthesis, the CO₂ emission in the residential sector in 2020 could be reduced by 37.0% in Beijing, 38.3% in Shanghai, 36.3% in Tokyo and 27.0% in Seoul, and the CO₂ emission in the commercial sector could be reduced by 29.2% in Beijing, 34.4% in Shanghai, 29.4% in Tokyo and 29.2% in Seoul compared with the tendency case. Sensitivity analysis results show that there exist uncertainties in parameters and model building. For the former case, introduction rates of strategies were selected for main parameters, and effect on the final results was found as dissemination rate was lowered by 10%. For the later, effect on the final results was found as change was adjusted between the upper and lower limit of 95% confidence interval.

収録刊行物

• 地球環境シンポジウム講演論文集

  地球環境シンポジウム講演論文集 12 325-330, 2004

  公益社団法人 土木学会

キーワード

• energy demand model
• residential and commercial sector
• CO<SUB>2</SUB> emission
• Asian mega-cities

詳細情報

• CRID: 1390001205403439872
• NII論文ID: 10024474713
• NII書誌ID: AA11047555
• DOI: 10.2208/proge.12.325
• ISSN: 18848419
• データソース種別:
  • JaLC
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• 抄録ライセンスフラグ: 使用不可