予測誤差傾向を考慮した大規模太陽光発電所の計画運転

書誌事項

タイトル別名
  • Scheduled Operation of PV Power Station Considering Solar Radiation Forecast Error
  • ヨソク ゴサ ケイコウ オ コウリョ シタ ダイキボ タイヨウコウ ハツデンショ ノ ケイカク ウンテン

この論文をさがす

抄録

Massive penetration of photovoltaic generation (PV) power stations may cause some serious impacts on a power system operation due to their volatile and unpredictable output. Growth of uncertainty may require larger operating reserve capacity and regulating capacity. Therefore, in order to utilize a PV power station as an alternative for an existing power plant, improvement in controllability and adjustability of station output become very important factor. Purpose of this paper is to develop the scheduled operation technique using a battery system (NAS battery) and the meteorological forecast. The performance of scheduled operation strongly depends on the accuracy of solar radiation forecast. However, the solar radiation forecast contains error. This paper proposes scheduling method and rescheduling method considering the trend of forecast error. More specifically, the forecast error scenario is modeled by means of the clustering analysis of the past actual forecast error. Validity and effectiveness of the proposed method is ascertained through computational simulations using the actual PV generation data monitored at the Wakkanai PV power station and solar radiation forecast data provided by the Japan Weather Association.

収録刊行物

被引用文献 (14)*注記

もっと見る

参考文献 (20)*注記

もっと見る

詳細情報 詳細情報について

問題の指摘

ページトップへ