中国の後期中等教育発展に関するマクロ的分析-経済発展との関連において-  [in Japanese] A Macroscopic Analysis on the Development of Upper Secondary Education in China  [in Japanese]

With the recent economic development, upper secondary education in China has undergone substantial expansion. This paper aims to analyze the underlying economic factors behind it. Based on cross-sectional data by province, the analysis is done from three aspects : the correlation between enrollment rates and the level of the economic development, the correlation between changes in enrollment rates and GDP, and the correlation between enrollment rates and the patterns of economic development. The analyses demonstrate two facts. First, the enrollment rate is not significantly correlated with the level of per capita GDP, showing that there are significant variations in the relationship between economic growth and the expansion of enrollment. Second, patterns of economic development are closely related to enrollment growth. The share of small-scale rural industries has a significant positive effect on enrollment in vocational schools, while stateowned industries tend to be associated with enrollment in academic schools.