The Effect of Unemployment on the Re-incarceration of Japanese Prisoners

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  • YUMA Yoshikazu
    Graduate School of Human and Social Studies, Saitama Institute of Technology
  • Suzuki Nodoka
    Graduate School of Human and Social Studies, Saitama Institute of Technology

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Other Title
  • 日本の受刑者の再入に対する失業の効果
  • 日本の受刑者の再入に対する失業の効果--Canter and Land理論のpooled time-series analysisによる検証
  • ニホン ノ ジュケイシャ ノ サイニュウ ニ タイスル シツギョウ ノ コウカ Canter and Land リロン ノ pooled time series analysis ニ ヨル ケンショウ
  • Canter and Land理論のpooled time-series analysisによる検証
  • Testing Canter and Land's Theory with Pooled Time-Series Analysis

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Abstract

In this paper, we examined the effect of unemployment rates on re-incarceration rates of prisoners, based on Canter and Land's (1985) theory distinguishing between opportunity and motivation effects. We used pooled time-series analyses with the data of re-incarceration rates of Japanese prisoners released from 1960 to 2004. After controlling cohort and year effects, we found that, for non-parolees, unemployment rates had a significant and decreasing-opportunity-effect on re-incarceration rates and that the first difference of unemployment rates had a significant and increasing-motivation-effect. These were consistent with the theory. However, we found no significant effects for parolees.

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