A Decision Making Model and Its Application to Airplane Accidents
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- Iijima Tetsuo
- Heisei International University
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A simple formula of a decision making process is introduced and applied to airplane accidents: a near-miss case of Douglas DC-10-40 with Boeing 747-400D in 2001 and a collision between Tupolev 154M and Boeing 757-200 cargo jet in 2002. The decision making process is shown as the plot of lnln (1-y)-1 versus lnt with phase-change ratio, y and time, t and thus, it shows the diffusion law when the plot is linear. The flight data focused on altitude from cruising to descending is applied to the model and a clear phase-change is demonstrated. The timing of the phase-change means the “decision making” point and is estimated as timing for pilots to start to perform maneuvers. This model may be applied to a large number of cases related to the human factors on decision making.
収録刊行物
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- Journal of Information Processing
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Journal of Information Processing 20 (2), 508-511, 2012
一般社団法人 情報処理学会
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詳細情報 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390001205295954560
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- NII論文ID
- 170000145176
- 110008802680
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- NII書誌ID
- AA00700121
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- ISSN
- 18827764
- 18827837
- 18826652
- 03875806
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- NDL書誌ID
- 024041707
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- 本文言語コード
- en
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- データソース種別
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- JaLC
- IRDB
- NDL
- Crossref
- CiNii Articles
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- 使用不可