Determinants of the accuracy of occupational hygiene expert judgment

  • SAKHVIDI Mohammad Javad Zare
    Department of Occupational Health, Faculty of Health, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences, Iran
  • MIHANPOOR Hamideh
    Department of Occupational Health, Faculty of Health, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences, Iran
  • MOSTAGHACI Mehrdad
    Department of Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences, Iran
  • MEHRPARVAR AmirHooshang
    Department of Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences, Iran
  • BARKHORDARI Abolfazl
    Department of Occupational Health, Faculty of Health, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences, Iran

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抄録

An experimental study was performed to determine the applicability and accuracy of occupational hygienist’s expert judgment in occupational exposure assessment. The effect of tier 1 model application on improvement of expert judgments were also realized. Hygienists were asked to evaluate inhalation exposure intensity in seven operating units in a tile factory before and after an exposure training session. Participants’ judgments were compared to air sampling data in the units; then after relative errors for judgments were calculated. Stepwise regressions were performed to investigate the defining variables. In all situations there were almost a perfect agreement (ICC >0.80) among raters. Correlations between estimated mean exposure and relative percentage error of participants before and after training were significant at 0.01 (correlation coefficients were −0.462 and −0.443, respectively). Results showed that actual concentration and experience resulted in 22.4% prediction variance for expert error as an independent variable. Exposure rating by hygienists was susceptible to error from several sources. Experienced subjects had a better ability to predict the exposures intensity. In lower concentrations, the rating error increased significantly. Leading causes of judgment error should be taken into account in epidemiological studies.

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