Prediction of climatic suitability for wine grape production under the climatic change in Hokkaido

• NEMOTO Manabu

  National Agriculture and Food Research Organization (NARO), Hokkaido Agricultural Research Center (HARC)

• HIROTA Tomoyoshi

  National Agriculture and Food Research Organization (NARO), Hokkaido Agricultural Research Center (HARC)

• SATO Tomonori

  Faculty of Environmental Earth Science, Hokkaido University

抄録

　This paper investigates the shifts in climatic suitability for cultivating grapes (Vitis vinifera) in Hokkaido, Japan, throughout the 20th and 21st century. To assess area suitability over time, we used two climate model datasets and three climatic criteria (summer temperature, summer precipitation, and winter temperature). The optimum area for growth gradually enlarged from the 1990s to present (2010s), and this area will cover almost all of the Hokkaido region by the 2050s. Even when considering model uncertainties, almost all low elevation areas in Hokkaido are projected to be suitable for V. vinifera cultivation in the future.

収録刊行物

• 農業気象

  農業気象 72 (3-4), 167-172, 2016

  日本農業気象学会

キーワード

• Climate change
• Global warming
• <i>Vitis vinifera</i>
• Wine grapes

詳細情報

• CRID: 1390001204669001216
• NII論文ID: 40020932829
• NII論文ID: 130006847558
• NII書誌ID: AN00200732
• DOI: 10.2480/agrmet.d-15-00027
• ISSN: 18810136
• ISSN: 00218588
• NDL書誌ID: 027599077
• Web Site: http://id.ndl.go.jp/bib/027599077
• Web Site: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I027599077
• Web Site: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/agrmet/72/3-4/72_D-15-00027/_pdf
• 本文言語コード: en
• データソース種別:
  • JaLC
  • NDL
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• 抄録ライセンスフラグ: 使用不可