Climate change atlas : greenhouse simulations from the Model Evaluation Consortium for Climate Assessment

書誌事項

Climate change atlas : greenhouse simulations from the Model Evaluation Consortium for Climate Assessment

by Ann Henderson-Sellers and Ann-Maree Hansen

(Atmospheric and oceanographic sciences library / editor-in-chief, Richard D. Rosen, v. 17)

Kluwer Academic Publishers, c1995

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注記

Includes bibliographical references (p. 15)

"Climatic Impacts Centre, MECCA Model Evaluation for Climate Assessment Analysis Team, KEMA"

内容説明・目次

内容説明

Concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere have been increasing since the Industrial Revolution, prompting concern that these increases could result in global and regional climate change. The impacts of this enhanced greenhouse effect are not yet fully understood and may depend on both the degree and the speed of climate change. Impact and policy assessments are demanding more information from climate modellers and specific case studies use the most up-to-date, model results available. But one model "snapshot" will not represent the whole scene, nor the full complexity and uncertainty of future climate prediction. This text puts such individual model scenarios into context and is a means of visually representing, comparing and communicating climate variables as derived from global climate models: temperature, precipitation, snow and ice. The displays are comprehensible to a broad community, motivated by the need to provide and utilize climate change assessments and to understand their reliability in the development of policy initiatives.

目次

1: Introduction. Introduction. Interpreting the atlas information. Atlas layout. Overview of the atlas maps. Caveats. Acknowledgments. Reference. 2: Confidence in Predictions. Temperature increase agreement. Precipitation increase agreement. Precipitation decrease agreement. Snow Cover agreement. Sea-Ice agreement. Temperature signals for warming agreement. Precipitation signals for wetting agreement. Precipitation signals for drying agreement. 3: Simulated Climates. Temperature: Mean (Control: present). Standard Deviation (Control: present). Standard Deviation (Enhanced: greenhouse). Mean Differences (Greenhouse -- present). Signal to Noise (Greenhouse `signal'). Precipitation: Mean (Control: present). Standard Deviation (Enhanced: greenhouse). Mean Differences (Greenhouse -- present). Signal to Noise (Greenhouse `signal'). Snow Cover: Mean (Control). Frequency (Control: Present). Frequency (Enhanced: greenhouse). Snow Depth: Mean Differences (Greenhouse -- present). Sea-Ice Extent: Mean (Control). Frequency (Control: present). Frequency (Enhanced: greenhouse). Mean Differences (Greenhouse -- present).

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