Decision making and forecasting : with emphasis on model building and policy analysis

書誌事項

Decision making and forecasting : with emphasis on model building and policy analysis

Kneale T. Marshall, Robert M. Oliver

(McGraw-Hill series in industrial engineering and management science)

McGraw-Hill, c1995

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注記

Includes bibliographical references (p. [394]-397) and indexes

内容説明・目次

内容説明

This unique text provides a systematic review of decision-making under uncertainty and regards forecasting as an integral component to the decision-making process. The book covers both decision trees and influence diagrams and shows how they relate to each other and how emphasis is placed on the value of information and the assessment of probabilities. Targeted at both upper-level operations research courses and at practitioners. This text is packaged with an accessible, useful decision tree analysis program.

目次

  • Basic concepts
  • using baseline forecasts
  • forecasts for decision models
  • model building
  • model analysis
  • subjective measures and utility
  • multi-attribute problems
  • forecast performance
  • advanced concepts.

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