ゲンジボタル成虫の発生時期の予測

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タイトル別名
  • Estimation of the peak flight season of adult Genji-firefly, Luciola cruciata (Coleoptera)
  • ゲンジボタル セイチュウ ノ ハッセイ ジキ ノ ヨソク

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Methods to estimate the season of adult emergence of Genji-firefly, Luciola cruciata, were presented with analysis on the relations of landing date of mature larvae and emergence date of adults to the air temperature at Kiyotaki and Ginkaku-ji in Kyoto City and Nagaoka in Santo Town, Shiga Prefecture. The peak (or initial) emergence date of adult fireflies (Y) could be estimated from the peak (or initial) landing date of mature larvae (X) as; Y=14.23+1.34×X, where X and Y were presented by days from 1st January. The developmental zero and the effective cumulative temperature during the pupal stage (after the landing of mature larva until adult emergence) were estimated to be 13.7°C and 162.6 degree-days, respectively. Without observation on the landing mature larvae, the peak flight season of adult fireflies (Y, presented by days from 1st January) was possible to be roughly estimated with the cumulative temperature above the developmental zero (13.7°C) for 20, 30 or 40 days after average air temperature exceeds the developmental zero (SUB20/SUB or X30 or X40, respectively) : Y=174.8-0.248×X20, Y=180.2-0.199×X30 or Y=187.1-0.175×X40. To generalize these estimations for localities other than Kyoto and Shiga prefectures, we need to compare the developmental zero and cumulative temperature of other local populations.

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