Probabilistic Evaluation on Evacuation Route and Optimality of Staircase Location

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  • 避難経路の確率論的評価と階段配置の最適性
  • ヒナン ケイロ ノ カクリツロンテキ ヒョウカ ト カイダン ハイチ ノ サイテキセイ

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Abstract

On the plan with a straight corridor, we deduce an equation which gives a success probability of evacuation from a given start point. <br>As a criterion on building safety, we propose the Min-Max principle that 1) we must evaluate a safety by the minimum probability of success, and 2) we must prefer the plan with maximum value of the minimum probability. Based on the Min-Max principle, we compare the plans with different staircase location. <br>It has being recommended that the staircase is located in the double end of corridor. It is proven that the minimum success probability of the staircase plan with the part in the dead end corridor is greater than the one of the plan with double end staircase.

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