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- WATANABE Kazuho
- Nara Institute of Science and Technology
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- OKADA Masato
- The University of Tokyo and RIKEN
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抄録
Bayesian methods are often applied for estimating the event rate from a series of event occurrences. However, the Bayesian posterior distribution requires the computation of the marginal likelihood which generally involves an analytically intractable integration. As an event rate is defined in a very high dimensional space, it is computationally demanding to obtain the Bayesian posterior distribution for the rate. We estimate the rate underlying a sequence of event counts by deriving an approximate Bayesian inference algorithm for the time-varying binomial process. This enables us to calculate the posterior distribution analytically. We also provide a method for estimating the prior hyperparameter, which determines the smoothness of the estimated event rate. Moreover, we provide an efficient method to compute the upper and lower bounds of the marginal likelihood, which evaluate the approximation accuracy. Numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in terms of the estimation accuracy.
収録刊行物
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- IEICE Transactions on Fundamentals of Electronics, Communications and Computer Sciences
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IEICE Transactions on Fundamentals of Electronics, Communications and Computer Sciences E94-A (12), 2879-2885, 2011
一般社団法人 電子情報通信学会
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詳細情報 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390282681288248576
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- NII論文ID
- 10030534322
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- NII書誌ID
- AA10826239
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- ISSN
- 17451337
- 09168508
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- 本文言語コード
- en
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- データソース種別
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- JaLC
- Crossref
- CiNii Articles
- KAKEN
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- 抄録ライセンスフラグ
- 使用不可