政治的支持に経済が及ぼす効果の時系列分析 [in Japanese] Time series analysis of economic effect on political support [in Japanese]
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In this paper, relations from economic conditions to political support were investigated through time series analyses of aggregate level data. First, the auto-regression model was applied to the data in order to describe underlying processes of each dependent variable. Secondly, the cross-lagged correlation model was applied for identification of causal relationship beween economic conditions and political support. Thirdly, the non-recursive path analysis was used to analyze causal relationships among all variables used. It was found that (1) income has the direct effect on political support, (2) price has an indirect effect on political support and a direct effect on citizens' evaluation of economic well-being, and (3) government support is more susceptible to the economic conditions than support for the Government party.
- Japanese Journal of Social Psychology
Japanese Journal of Social Psychology 1(1), 1-8, 1985
The Japanese Society of Social Psychology