3106 低炭素技術の普及に基づく電力システムの将来シナリオの作成と分析(OS9-4 ライフサイクル設計とサービス工学IV シナリオプランニング)

DOI Web Site
  • 木下 裕介
    大阪大学環境イノベーションデザインセンター
  • 倉橋 直人
    大阪大学大学院工学研究科機械工学専攻
  • 山口 容平
    大阪大学大学院工学研究科環境エネルギー工学専攻
  • 福重 真一
    大阪大学大学院工学研究科機械工学専攻
  • 梅田 靖
    大阪大学大学院工学研究科機械工学専攻

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  • 3106 Describing and Analyzing Scenarios of Regional Electricity Systems Based on the Diffusion of Low-carbon Technologies

抄録

In pursuit of a low-carbon society, a variety of products have been disseminated, such as photovoltaic (PV) systems and electric vehicles (EVs). While the dissemination of such energy-saving products will affect power systems, the question is to what extent the dissemination of these products will influence on regional power systems in the future. To envision future images of power systems, this paper describes scenarios of regional electricity systems by analyzing the influence of the diffusion of PV systems and EVs. A simulation model is developed for estimating the diffusion of PV systems and EVs and regional electricity demand. As a case study, several scenarios of regional electricity networks in Toyonaka City, Osaka, Japan are described assuming the year 2030. The results demonstrate that the numbers of PV systems and EVs largely differ depending on the scenarios. Moreover, it is shown that utilizing EVs as batteries has the potential of reducing the peak of electricity demand from power grid by 46-48%.

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