台風の確率モデルの作成とそれによる強風のシミュレイション

• 藤井, 健

• 光田, 寧

書誌事項

タイトル別名

• SYNTHESIS OF A STOCHASTIC TYPHOON MODEL AND SIMULATION OF TYPHOON WINDS
• タイフウ ノ カクリツ モデル ノ サクセイ ト ソレニ ヨル キョウフウ ノ

抄録

In the previous paper in 1985, we presented the statistical specifications of the pressurepatterns of the typhoons through the analysis of the moderate and severe ones which hadmade landfall on the Japanese main islands during the period 1951-1984. Basing on thesespecifications, in this paper, we synthesized a stochastic typhoon model, and carried outsimulation of typhoons by Monte Carlo technique. Further, a series of simulated typhoonswas applied to the estimation of the design basic wind speeds at Akashi Straits as an ex-ample. A series of simulated annual maximum wind speeds was represented as the doubleexponential distribution, and the expected wind speeds at the site were estimated as 44, 47and 50 m/sec, for the 50, 100 and 200 year return periods respectively.

収録刊行物

• 京都大学防災研究所年報. B

  京都大学防災研究所年報. B 29 (B-1), 229-239, 1986-04-01

  京都大学防災研究所

詳細情報

• CRID: 1050001202175046400
• NII論文ID: 120001178231
• NII論文ID: 10003424528
• NII書誌ID: AN00027784
• ISSN: 0386412X
• HANDLE: 2433/71910
• NDL書誌ID: 3102313
• Web Site: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I3102313
• 本文言語コード: ja
• 資料種別: departmental bulletin paper
• データソース種別:
  • IRDB
  • NDL
  • CiNii Articles