Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017

• Tsuzuki, Shinya

• Lee, Hyojung

• Miura, Fuminari

• Chan, Yat Hin

• Jung, Sung-mok

• Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R

• Nishiura, Hiroshi

Abstract

Transmission potential and severity of pneumonic plague in Madagascar were assessed. Accounting for reporting delay, the reproduction number was estimated at 1.73. The case fatality risk was estimated as 5.5%. Expected numbers of exported cases from Madagascar were estimated across the world and all estimates were below 1 person from August to October, 2017.

Journal

• Eurosurveillance

  Eurosurveillance 22 (46), 17-00710-, 2017-11-16

  European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

Keywords

• Virology
• Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
• Epidemiology

Details

• CRID: 1050845763954446848
• NII Article ID: 120006380365
• DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2017.22.46.17-00710
• HANDLE: 2115/68214
• ISSN: 15607917
• Text Lang: en
• Article Type: journal article
• Data Source:
  • IRDB
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN