キャップ割当スキームの不確実性が電源投資に与える影響評価

• 小田 潤一郎

  Systems Analysis Group, Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth (RITE)

• 高嶋 隆太

  Faculty of Social Science, Chiba Institute of Technology

書誌事項

タイトル別名

• Investment for Competitive Power Plants under Uncertainty of Allocation Scheme
• キャップ ワリアテ スキーム ノ フカクジツセイ ガ デンゲン トウシ ニ アタエル エイキョウ ヒョウカ

抄録

In this study we focus on power generation replacement and CCS investment as a substitute for an aged coal-fired power plant under an emission trading system. In this analysis carbon price, gas price and free allocation are explicitly uncertain. Using a real options approach we evaluate the thresholds between “waiting” and “investment right now”. The results indicate that it requires substantially higher carbon price for early CCS diffusions. For example, in the case of middle-range gas price (around US$8/GJ), US$65/tCO2 is not sufficiency to invest CCS right now. In addition allocation uncertainty makes it more difficult to diffuse CCS in an early stage.

収録刊行物

• リアルオプション研究

  リアルオプション研究 4 (1), 47-60, 2011

  日本リアルオプション学会

キーワード

• Carbon capture and storage
• cap and trade
• free allocation
• replacement
• aged coal-fired power plant

詳細情報

• CRID: 1390282680294595072
• NII論文ID: 130000670600
• NII書誌ID: AA12351380
• DOI: 10.12949/realopn.4.47
• ISSN: 18841635
• ISSN: 18815774
• NDL書誌ID: 11025636
• Web Site: http://id.ndl.go.jp/bib/11025636
• Web Site: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I11025636
• Web Site: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/realopn/4/1/4_1_47/_pdf
• 本文言語コード: en
• データソース種別:
  • JaLC
  • NDL
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• 抄録ライセンスフラグ: 使用不可