氣象病の研究 (III) 氣象病の見出し方としての時間エム法

• 増山 元三郎

  中央氣象臺調査課衞生氣象掛 東京帝國大學醫學部内科物理療法學教室

書誌事項

タイトル別名

• The temporal m-method in the bioclimatology

抄録

The present author has critisized the n-method used by the German school of bioclimatologists. The n-method is not a perfect statistical method, for it may give an absurd result. The author gives here an example from the Fisher-Yates' table of random sampling numbers. Von Schelling has given a significant test for the n-method, but his schema of urnes and balls is not applicable in this case without reservations. He considers only the difference between the maximum value anti the minimum value of total frequencies scattered in the R cells in the sample, where these extremes may not correspond to those of the population in the R ordered cells. He does not distinguish the measure of correlation itself from that of the mode of correlation and does not consider the probability law of the qualitative event in question. The author proposes here a new method called “the temporal m-method” for the investigation of the measure of correlation between a temporal qualitative event A (t) and a temporal quantitative or qualitative event B (t) based on the analysis of variance proposed by R. A. Fisher. The main idea is as follows: We introduce a parameter m in B (t) and denote the measure of B (t) by y (m; t), where m means the time interval between the time of the appearance of the event A and the time of observation of the event B. Then we study the probability distribution of y (m; t) considering m as a variable and t as a parameter. We apply the test of significance in two way for the quantitative event B, viz. the test of variation in sub-sets of means y (m) and that of linearity of regression of y on m (not regression of m on y). Here, of course, these two tests must be used with reservations when we can not consider the variance as a random sampling one of the variance of population.

収録刊行物

• 日本温泉気候学会雑誌

  日本温泉気候学会雑誌 8 (1), 8-12, 1942

  一般社団法人 日本温泉気候物理医学会

詳細情報

• CRID: 1390282680342322432
• NII論文ID: 130002041228
• DOI: 10.11390/onki1935.8.8
• ISSN: 18843689
• ISSN: 03694240
• 本文言語コード: ja
• データソース種別:
  • JaLC
  • CiNii Articles
• 抄録ライセンスフラグ: 使用不可