Ex-post Evaluation Method of Prediction of Transportation Demand by SCGE Model

• KOIKE Atsushi

  鳥取大学工学部社会開発システム工学科

• OHTAGAKI Akira

  エム・アール・アイリサーチアソシエイツ株式会社

• TSUCHIYA Kazuyuki

  株式会社三菱総合研究所社会システム研究本部

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 空間的応用一般均衡モデルを用いた交通需要予測の事後評価の可能性

Abstract

It has become common to use a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model for evaluation of transportation investment, recently. In this study, we apply Dynamic Spatial CGE model to the prediction of transportation demand. SCGE model has some advantages to use for the prediction of transportation demand compared to using four-step method. Firstly, we summarize the advantage of SCGE model from ex-post evaluation point of view and propose a methodology for ex-post evaluation of the prediction of transportation demand. And, we apply this method to estimate the transportation demand in Japan.

Journal

• INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING REVIEW

  INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING REVIEW 24 67-74, 2007

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• 交通需要予測
• 事後評価
• SCGEモデル

Details

• CRID: 1390001204638192000
• NII Article ID: 130003840376
• DOI: 10.2208/journalip.24.67
• ISSN: 18848303
• ISSN: 09134034
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed