地球温暖化予測データに基づく台風極端化特性の評価と高潮シミュレーション

• 安田 誠宏

  京都大学防災研究所

• 高田 理絵

  京都大学大学院工学研究科都市環境工学専攻

• 金 洙列

  鳥取大学工学部社会開発システム工学科

• 間瀬 肇

  京都大学防災研究所

書誌事項

タイトル別名

• Evaluation of Extreme Characteristics of Typhoon due to Global Warming based on Global Climate Model and Storm Surge Simulations by using GCM Data

抄録

The effects of global warming on natural disasters are the indisputable issue. The consideration of the effects is necessary to estimate the coastal hazard risk. The change of typhoon characteristics due to global warming was evaluated by using the latest results of high resolution global climate model simulation. Magnitudes of the future typhoon will increase due to the effect of global warming. The occurrence distribution of typhoons will be moved about 2.6 degrees northward, and the ratio of typhoons which approach Japan will increase in the future. Storm surge simulations were conducted by SuWAT model using the GCM simulation results for the Tokyo Bay. It was clearly confirmed that not only the scale of the typhoon but also the relation between the typhoon track and the shape of bay was important factors.

収録刊行物

• 海岸工学論文集

  海岸工学論文集 55 1331-1335, 2008

  公益社団法人 土木学会

キーワード

• General Chemical Engineering

詳細情報

• CRID: 1390001204550536960
• NII論文ID: 130003992188
• DOI: 10.2208/proce1989.55.1331
• ISSN: 18848222
• ISSN: 09167897
• データソース種別:
  • JaLC
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
• 抄録ライセンスフラグ: 使用不可