ESTIMATION OF WASTES OF PLASTERBOARD BY SCENARIO ANALYSIS

• OMI Yasuo

  Assoc. Prof., Dept. of Architecture, Faculty of Engineering, Tokyo City University, Dr. Eng.

• KURITA Noriyuki

  Director, A/E WORKS Association, Dr. Eng.

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• シナリオ分析による石膏ボードの排出量予測
• Estimation method of stock/wastes of building materials under the trends in longer life of buildings Part 2
• 建物の長寿命化トレンドにおける建材のストック/排出量の算出手法に関する研究　その２

Abstract

This study discussed the estimation of wastes of plasterboard by scenario analysis by comparing three possible future outcomes, from “Optimism Scenario”, “Pessimism Scenario” and “Previously Used Scenario”, and the results are as follows,<br>1. “Optimism Scenario” estimated plasterboard wastes at about 1,000,000 ton a year in 2050, but both “Pessimism Scenario” and “Previously Used Scenario” estimated them over 3,000,000 ton.<br>2. “Pessimism Scenario” and “Previously Used Scenario” showed a similar in some respects. If the time of the latter is delayed for ten-odd years, the outcome is very much like the former, though “Optimism Scenario” is like neither.<br>3. Plasterboard is an object of case study of the analysis method and it is applicable to many other building materials. This study showed the way of the long-term forecast estimation of building materials, which helps environmental problems and policies.

Journal

• Journal of Architecture and Planning (Transactions of AIJ)

  Journal of Architecture and Planning (Transactions of AIJ) 76 (662), 835-841, 2011

  Architectural Institute of Japan

Keywords

• <i>Plasterboard</i>
• <i>Stock</i>
• <i>Building Wastes</i>
• <i>Estimation of Wastes</i>

Details

• CRID: 1390282679755331328
• NII Article ID: 130004512297
• DOI: 10.3130/aija.76.835
• ISSN: 18818161
• ISSN: 13404210
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed