Distributions of Possible Maximum Storm Surges and High Waves in Tokyo Bay under Global Warming Affected Climate

• MURAKAMI Tomokazu

  National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention

• FUKAO Hironori

  Gifu University

• YOSHINO Jun

  Gifu University

• YASUDA Takashi

  Gifu University

• IIZUKA Satoshi

  National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention

• SHIMOKAWA Shinya

  National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 温暖化による台風強大化に伴う東京湾での最大級高潮と波浪の時空間分布

Abstract

In this study, a climate in September of 2099 based on the SRES A1B scenario was assumed as the future climate affected by the global warming. 50 cases of potential typhoons striking Tokyo Bay under the assumed future climate were estimated by using potential vorticity bogussing scheme of a tropical cyclone. Then, distributions of the possible maximum storm surges and high waves generated by the 50 potential typhoons were predicted by using an atmosphere-ocean-wave coupled model. The results show that the potential storm tide in Tokyo Port reaches 3.4 m and the maximum storm tide of 4.1 m height in Tokyo Bay is caused in Katunan located at the most inner part of Tokyo Bay. The heights of these storm tides remarkably exceed the largest storm tide 2.3 m ever recorded in Tokyo Bay.

Journal

• Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

  Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 67 (2), I_396-I_400, 2011

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• storm surge
• typhoon
• Tokyo Bay
• atmosphere-ocean-wave coupled model

Details

• CRID: 1390282680298520704
• NII Article ID: 130004550503
• DOI: 10.2208/kaigan.67.i_396
• ISSN: 18838944
• ISSN: 18842399
• Text Lang: en
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed