マルチモデルアンサンブルによる気候変動に伴う熱帯低気圧特性の将来変化予測 [in Japanese] Multi-Model Ensemble Projection of Future Tropical Cyclone Characteristics due to Global Climate Change [in Japanese]
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Future change of tropical cyclone (TC) climatology is discussed by GCM ensemble runs. With GCMs, large degrees of uncertainty exist in future change in TC climatology at basin scale, and central pressure changes for each basin. The projection of future change of TC characteristics was conducted based on a series of ensemble experiments by the high-resolution AGCMs. The model ensemble means and their standard deviations of cyclogenesis and cycloysis are disucssed in detail. The future change of location and intensity of TC are analyzed with synoptic climate.
- Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)
Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 68(2), I_1251-I_1255, 2012
Japan Society of Civil Engineers