Future Projection of Wave Climate by SST Ensemble Experiments and Its Uncertainty Assessment

• SHIMURA Tomoya

  Kyoto University

• MORI Nobuhito

  Kyoto University

• YASUDA Tomohiro

  Kyoto University

• MASE Hajime

  Kyoto University

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 海面水温アンサンブル実験に基づく波浪の将来変化傾向とその不確実性評価

Abstract

Future projections of global and the North West Pacific wave climate under global warming scenario were conducted and the uncertainties related with different Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) were investigated, based on SST-ensemble experiments performed by an atmospheric general circulation model and a wave model. Future changes in average wave height show same or opposite signals among the series of experiments depending on the ocean and season. Especially in the North West Pacific, the uncertainties of future wave climate in summer are larger than other oceans due to uncertainty in projection of typhoon characteristics.

Journal

• Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

  Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 69 (2), I_1266-I_1270, 2013

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• wave climate
• climate change
• sea surface temperature
• projection
• uncertainty

Details

• CRID: 1390282680296107008
• NII Article ID: 130004551003
• DOI: 10.2208/kaigan.69.i_1266
• ISSN: 18838944
• ISSN: 18842399
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed