PREDICTION USING ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN-WAVE COUPLED MODEL FOR POSSIBLE MAXIMUM STORM SURGE IN TOKYO BAY

• MURAKAMI Tomokazu

  National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention

• YOSHINO Jun

  Gifu University

• FUKAO Hironori

  Gifu University

• YASUDA Takashi

  Gifu University

• IIZUKA Satoshi

  National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention

• SHIMOKAWA Shinya

  National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 大気－海洋－波浪結合モデルを用いた可能最大級台風による東京湾の高潮予測

Abstract

  A storm surge caused by typhoon FITOW (2007) in Tokyo Bay was reproduced using an atmosphere-ocean-wave coupled model. Comparisons of the storm tides between the calculated values and observed ones were performed at four observation stations located in Tokyo Bay. It was demonstrated that the coupled model can accurately calculate high storm tides in Tokyo Bay.<br>  Then, distributions of possible maximum storm surges in Tokyo Bay caused by potential typhoons of 50 cases under present climate were predicted by using the coupled model and a tropical cyclone potential vorticity bogussing scheme. The results show that the potential storm tide exceeds 2 m over the large area in Tokyo Bay and its maximum value reaches 3.3 m, which exceeds the largest storm tide 2.3 m ever recorded in Tokyo Bay.

Journal

• Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B3 (Ocean Engineering)

  Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B3 (Ocean Engineering) 67 (2), I_979-I_984, 2011

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• Storm surge
• Typhoon
• Tokyo Bay
• Atmosphere-ocean-wave coupled model

Details

• CRID: 1390282680330621952
• NII Article ID: 130004558540
• DOI: 10.2208/jscejoe.67.i_979
• ISSN: 21854688
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed