<b>The Impact of the Falling Birth Rate, Aging Population, and Global Warming on Japanese Food Demand </b>

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  • <b>少子高齢化と地球温暖化が食料需要に与える影響 </b>
  • 少子高齢化と地球温暖化が食料需要に与える影響
  • ショウシ コウレイカ ト チキュウ オンダンカ ガ ショクリョウ ジュヨウ ニ アタエル エイキョウ

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Abstract

This article investigates the impact of the falling birth rate, aging population, global warming, and other demographic and weather factors on Japanese food demand. The linear approximate quadratic almost idealdemand system, which is closed under unit scaling even with additional regressors in it and is more flexible in expenditure variations than the popular linear approximate almost ideal demand system, is applied to pseudo panel data per household on 12 food groups in 49 cities for the period January 2000 through December 2008. The decreasing number of children increases the demand for fish, vegetables, and alcohol and decreases that for dairy products, cakes, and eating out. The aging population increases the demand for fish, dairy products, vegetables, and fruit and decreases that for meat and eating out. Global warming, whose impact is estimated monthly, increases the demand for beverages throughout the year and decreases that for fish and meat in all but one month.

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