DEVELOPMENT OF AN INTEGRATED TRAVEL DEMAND FORECASTING MODEL FOR COMPREHENSIVE TRANSPORT STRATEGY

• KANAMORI Ryo

  東京大学大学院 都市持続再生研究センター

• MORIKAWA Takayuki

  名古屋大学大学院 環境学研究科

• YAMAMOTO Toshiyuki

  名古屋大学大学院 工学研究科

• MIWA Tomio

  名古屋大学 エコトピア科学研究所

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 総合交通戦略の策定に向けた統合型交通需要予測モデルの開発

Abstract

  This paper proposes an integrated travel demand forecasting model for a formulation of comprehensive transport strategy and validates its usefulness as a practical tool. In order to overcome and/or modify some drawbacks of Four-Step forecasting model, we develop a semi-dynamic combined network equilibrium model including an activity-travel model that consists of activity choice, destination choice, mode choice and route choice, and also reproduces a trip chain along the time axis by a sequential computation. From the application results of an actual metropolitan area, it was demonstrated that our model is useful from the both of reproducibility and computational efficiency.

Journal

• Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshuu D

  Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshuu D 65 (4), 503-518, 2009

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• combined network equilibrium model
• activity-based approach
• induced demand

Details

• CRID: 1390282680231086464
• NII Article ID: 130004942898
• DOI: 10.2208/jscejd.65.503
• ISSN: 18806058
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed