Compound Impact Assessment on Population Growth and Sea-Level Rise along Ibaraki Coast, Japan

• NOBUOKA Hisamichi

  Ibaraki University

• NARA Naoki

  Mito Shinkin Bank

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 茨城沿岸における人口成長と海面上昇の複合影響評価
• イバラキ エンガン ニ オケル ジンコウ セイチョウ ト カイメン ジョウショウ ノ フクゴウ エイキョウ ヒョウカ

Abstract

Impact of rise in sea-level due to global warming and positive population growth derive primary vulnerability in coastal zones. On the other hand population has been decreasing especially in rural area of Japan so that a change in a risk of coastal disasters depends on the competition between sea-level rise and negative population growth. This study carried out a vulnerability assessment of coastal flood with these compound impacts which agreed to SRES scenario of IPCC in 21^st century. After future population in the target area was calculated this population was adjusted to the trend of SRES scenarios. The time-series of flooded area and that affected population according to each scenario were counted and adaptation strategies were discussed for thinly populated areas.

Journal

• Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

  Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 66 (1), 1336-1340, 2010

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• impact assessment
• coastal zone
• population
• sea level rise
• storm surge

Details

• CRID: 1390282680296803968
• NII Article ID: 130004956509
• NII Book ID: AA12508551
• DOI: 10.2208/kaigan.66.1336
• ISSN: 18838944
• ISSN: 18842399
• NDL BIB ID: 11237399
• Web Site: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I11237399
• Text Lang: en
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • NDL
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed