Investment, Capacity Choice and Outsourcing Options under Uncertainty

  • Goto Makoto
    Graduate School of Economics and Business Administration, Hokkaido University
  • Takashima Ryuta
    Department of Industrial Administration, Tokyo University of Science

Abstract

In this paper, we formulate the investment of a firm in a production facility with maximum capacity and outsourcing strategy. Previous research on capacity selection has resulted in explosive capacity and long delay in investment. The possibility that a firm will install a facility with an explosive capacity is slight, and firms can generally outsource production when the demand exceeds the capacity of a facility. The outsourcing strategy is expected to inhibit capacity, accelerate investment, and increase value. In this paper, we simultaneously investigate the optimal investment timing, the size of a facility, and the outsourcing strategy.

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