LOW COST CARRIER ENTRY SHOCK ON AIR PASSENGER DEMAND AND AIRLINE RIVALRY

• ISHIKURA Tomoki

  首都大学東京　都市環境学部

• YAMAMOTO Kohei

  首都大学東京　大学院　都市環境科学研究科

• ONEYAMA Hiroyuki

  首都大学東京　都市環境学部

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 国内線格安航空会社参入による需要誘発および航空会社間競合への影響に関する分析
• コクナイセン カクヤス コウクウ ガイシャ サンニュウ ニ ヨル ジュヨウ ユウハツ オヨビ コウクウ ガイシャ カン キョウゴウ エ ノ エイキョウ ニ カンスル ブンセキ

Abstract

In 2012, new LCCs have entered into Japanese domestic air transport market. All of the new LCCs; Peach, Jetstar Japan and Air Asia Japan are partially subsidized companies of existing FSAs. The air fare of the new LCCs are significantly lower than the legacy FSAs. This impact caused the increase of OD demand, however the FSAs might lose demand (cannibalization). It is the first experience in Japan that this kind of price shock takes place in domestic air market.<br>This paper analyzes the above effects in air demand quantitatively in Osaka (KIX)-Sapporo (CTS) market. We assume the situation that the new LCCs do not enter, and estimate short run air demand trend by means of time series analysis. Then the comparison of the estimated demand and the actual air demand by airline decomposes the change in air demand into competitive effects and demand inducing effects.

Journal

• Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

  Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management) 70 (5), I_701-I_707, 2014

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• low cost carriers
• seasonal ARIMA
• air passenger demand

Details

• CRID: 1390001205356569856
• NII Article ID: 130005070390
• DOI: 10.2208/jscejipm.70.i_701
• ISSN: 21856540
• NDL BIB ID: 025992074
• Web Site: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I025992074
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • NDL
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed