Analyses of storm event triggering debris flows in Nagiso-Town, Nagano Prefecture, on July 9, 2014

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  • 2014年7月9日に発生した長野県南木曽町の土石流災害の誘因となった降雨イベントの解析
  • 2014ネン 7ガツ 9ニチ ニ ハッセイ シタ ナガノケン ナギソマチ ノ ドセキリュウ サイガイ ノ ユウイン ト ナッタ コウウ イベント ノ カイセキ

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Abstract

This study investigated storm event which triggered debris flows in Nagiso-Town, Nagano Prefecture, on July 9, 2014, by using antecedent precipitation indices (APIs) with various half-life times (HLTs). The storm was characterized by a large amount of precipitation during anteceding 2 days as well as a large rainfall intensity after a cumulative rainfall of more than 100 mm. At the occurrences of debris flows, combinations of APIs with HLTs of 13-173 h and APIs with HLTs of 0.1-2.0 h exceeded their past maximal values, and the storm was proved to be the biggest event for recent 30 years. We proposed a method to compute the minimal hourly rainfall which is required to cause the excesses of APIs over their past maxima. The value was estimated to be 34 mm at 40 minutes before the debris flow occurrences. Thus, the method was expected to provide useful information for early warning and evacuation against debris flow disasters.

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