IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF FUTURE STORM SURGE DUE TO TYPHOON VERA AS REVEALED BY PSEUDO-GLOBAL WARMING EXPERIMENTS

• NINOMIYA Junichi

  金沢大学 理工研究域環境デザイン学系

• MORI Nobuhito

  京都大学 防災研究所

• TAKEMI Tetsyua

  京都大学 防災研究所

• ARAKAWA Osamu

  筑波大学 生命環境系

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 伊勢湾台風の擬似温暖化実験による将来高潮の予測
• イセワン タイフウ ノ ギジ オンダンカ ジッケン ニ ヨル ショウライ タカシオ ノ ヨソク
• Impact assessment of future storm surges due to typhoon Vera as revealed by pseudo-global warming experiments

Abstract

 Dynamical downscaling targeted typhhon Vera under pseudo-global warming (PGW) that was based on JRA-55 and SST ensemble experiments using MRI-AGCM3.2S was carried out. Future change parameter sensitivity analysis of SST, air temperature and air pressure gave results that PGW experiment by only SST made typhoon to strengthen excesively (decrease 40 hPa in minimum pressure) and taking air temperature and pressure in account made typhoon minimum pressure to dexrease 10 hPa. Every PGW experiment made typhoon route to shift to west. Storm surge simulation using empirical typhoon model estimated surge level raise of 26 cm on ensemble average.

Journal

• Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

  Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 72 (2), I_1501-I_1506, 2016

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• pseudo-global warming
• dynamical downscaling
• storm surge
• Vera
• WRF
• SuWAT
• JRA-55

Details

• CRID: 1390001205319852288
• NII Article ID: 120006464068
• NII Article ID: 130005282221
• NII Book ID: AA12508551
• DOI: 10.2208/kaigan.72.i_1501
• DOI: 10.24517/00049529
• ISSN: 18838944
• ISSN: 18842399
• NDL BIB ID: 027813226
• Web Site: http://hdl.handle.net/2297/00049529
• Web Site: http://id.ndl.go.jp/bib/027813226
• Web Site: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I027813226
• Web Site: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/kaigan/72/2/72_I_1501/_pdf
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • IRDB
  • NDL
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed