STORM SURGE INUNDATION PREDICTION DUE TO HUGE TYPHOON AT HEAD OF ISE BAY

  • KAWASAKI Koji
    (株)ハイドロソフト技術研究所 研究開発センター
  • SHIMOKAWA Shinya
    国立研究開発法人防災科学技術研究所 観測・予測研究領域 水・土砂防災研究部門
  • MURAKAMI Tomokazu
    国立研究開発法人防災科学技術研究所 観測・予測研究領域 水・土砂防災研究部門

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Other Title
  • 超巨大台風による伊勢湾湾奥部における高潮浸水予測
  • チョウキョダイ タイフウ ニ ヨル イセワンワン オウブ ニ オケル タカシオ シンスイ ヨソク

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Abstract

 The intensification of typhoon and sea rise level which are caused by the global warming have been feared in recent years, and it is important to examine the influence of huge typhoon which exceeds Ise Bay typhoon. In other words, it is essential to predict the potential maximum typhoon scale and its-induced storm surge disaster. This study, therefore, examined inundation characteristics at the head of Ise Bay due to huge typhoon by conducting storm surge inundation calculation for virtual Muroto typhoon with the same course as Ise Bay typhoon, and potential typhoon based on the present climate or the SRES A1B scenario of IPCC. The numerical results revealed that the bay head area below sea level has high risk for human and property and early evacuation is of importance to mitigate catastrophic storm surge disaster.

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