ENSEMBLE PROJECTION OF EXTREME WAVE HEIGHT CHANGE BY CMIP5 BASED WAVE CLIMATE PROJECTIONS

• MORI Nobuhito

  京都大学 防災研究所

• SHIMURA Tomoya

  京都大学 防災研究所

• HEMER Mark

  CSIRO

• WANG Xiaolan

  Environment and Climate Change Canada

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• CMIP5にもとづく地球温暖化による高波の将来変化のアンサンブル予測
• CMIP5 ニ モトズク チキュウ オンダンカ ニ ヨル タカナミ ノ ショウライ ヘンカ ノ アンサンブル ヨソク

Abstract

 Projections of wave climate change have been conducted targeting climate change impact on coastal zone since the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of IPCC in 2012. Although the many projections are available for mean wave climate, the projections for extreme waves are not well conducted since IPCC AR5. This study conducts multi-GCM and multi-wave-model ensemble experiments changing radiative forcing, GCMs and wave models. The uncertainty of projection is discussed and characteristics of wave climate change in different ocean basins are examined in detail. Future change of extreme wave heights shows similar spatial distribution to mean wave heights but tropical cyclone plays important role at particular areas.

Journal

• Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

  Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 73 (2), I_115-I_120, 2017

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• wave height
• climate change
• ensemble experiments
• GCM

Details

• CRID: 1390282680297786880
• NII Article ID: 130006171746
• DOI: 10.2208/kaigan.73.i_115
• ISSN: 18838944
• ISSN: 18842399
• NDL BIB ID: 028749054
• Web Site: http://id.ndl.go.jp/bib/028749054
• Web Site: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I028749054
• Web Site: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/kaigan/73/2/73_I_115/_pdf
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • NDL
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed