SHORT-RUN ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF THE TRANSPORTATION RECOVERY POLICY AFTER AN EARTHQUAKE

• KOIKE Atsushi

  神戸大学　大学院工学研究科

• MIYAMOTO Yoshinao

  神戸大学大学院　工学研究科市民工学専攻

• UKON Takashi

  三菱UFJリサーチ＆コンサルティング株式会社

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 震災直後の交通施設復旧施策と経済影響分析

Abstract

This paper develops a short-run economic damage assessment model. The model contains two sub models. One is the conventional traffic assignment model, which calculates traveling time under the damaged transportation infrastructure. The other is the economic damage assessment model, which determines the decrease in production level in the short run. This model can analyze the factors that affect economic damage the most in each industry in each zone. As a case study, we applied this model to the Chukyo metropolitan area to evaluate the short-run economic damage of the Nankai Trough Earthquake. In addition, we also analized the effects of recovery plans for transport facilities and the influences on the time shift of the economic damage by considering inventories of intermediate goods. As a result, it is assumed that the comprehensive policy, considering the recovery timing, the damage factor and the regional characteristics, should be planned.

Journal

• Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

  Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management) 73 (5), I_147-I_161, 2017

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• economic damage assessment in the short-run
• optimum recovery plan analysis

Details

• CRID: 1390001205355294464
• NII Article ID: 130006286640
• DOI: 10.2208/jscejipm.73.i_147
• ISSN: 21856540
• Web Site: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jscejipm/73/5/73_I_147/_pdf
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed