観光客を考慮した藤沢市片瀬西浜・鵠沼地区における避難時間を尺度とした津波危険度の軽減効果の検討

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タイトル別名
  • Consideration of Tsunami Risk Reduction Effect Focusing on Tourists' Evacuation Time in Katase-Nishihama and Kugenuma District,Fujisawa Ciity
  • カンコウキャク オ コウリョ シタ フジサワシ カタセ ニシハマ ・ クゲヌマ チク ニ オケル ヒナン ジカン オ シャクド ト シタ ツナミ キケンド ノ ケイゲン コウカ ノ ケントウ

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抄録

<p>Katase-Nishihama and Kugenuma District is known as one of the most congested bathing beach in Japan for summer busy season, which confronts tsunami evacuation problems not only for residents but also large number of visitors. Based on multi-agent simulation method, this paper aims to quantitatively clarify refugees' evacuation behavior and average evacuation time in different scenarios and to suggest some solutions, such as construction of elevated railway for the Odakyu-Enoshima line, to reduce tsunami evacuation risk, especially for the visitors. As a result, the elevatedd railway construction will enable more than double number of evacuees to escape from a future tsunami estimated by the 1605 Keicho Earthquake.</p>

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