FLIGHT DELAY PROPAGATION MODEL FOR COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS IN JAPANESE DOMESTIC AVIATION NETWORK

• HIRATA Terumitsu

  茨城大学　工学部都市システム工学科

• KODATO Wataru

  東日本旅客鉄道(株)　水戸支社　水戸土木技術センター

• MATAYOSHI Naoki

  宇宙航空研究開発機構航空技術部門

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 国内航空ネットワークにおける波及遅延の解析モデルと費用対効果分析への活用手法

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to quantify the propagated delay and to develop the econometric model for estimating the delay propagation multiplier for cost-benefit-analysis in Japanese domestic aviation network. Firstly, we collected the flight delay data from multiple source which are publicly opened and integrated them to capture the propagation of the flight delay. Secondly, we developed the calculation method for separating the original and propagated delay and analyzed the macroscopic characteristics of the propagated delay in Japan such as the effect of the buffer time. Finally, the new econometric model for estimating the delay propagation multiplier are developed which can easily capture the effect of the changes in buffer time for airport turn-around time and gate-to-gate block time, and as a case study we tested the developed model for the actually-planned delay mitigation measure in Haneda airport and evaluated the possible delay mitigation effect change by considering propagated delay.

Journal

• Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

  Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management) 74 (5), I_959-I_970, 2018

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• domestic aviation network
• delay propagation
• cost-benefit-analysis

Details

• CRID: 1390001288108519680
• NII Article ID: 130007555717
• DOI: 10.2208/jscejipm.74.i_959
• ISSN: 21856540
• Web Site: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jscejipm/74/5/74_I_959/_pdf
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed