18歳人口減少期の高等教育機会:大学進学行動の地域的差異から見た地域配置政策の含意  [in Japanese] Consideration of the Implications of a Policy Change Regulating the Location of Higher Education Institutions:An Examination of the Regional Variations in the Selection of Colleges and Universities against a Background of Population Decline  [in Japanese]

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Abstract

<p> 18歳人口減少期の日本において,一部の地域(東京圏)だけは18歳人口が減らない状況のもと,新たな大学「地域配置政策」が実施されるとすれば,高等教育の機会にはどのような影響が生じうるのか.大学進学行動の地域的差異に関する検討を手がかりに考察した.</p><p> 『学校基本調査』を基に18歳人口や大学入学者の出身地域,大学進学者の進学先地域について,地域別の時系列データの推移を検討した結果,以下の示唆が得られた.もし,東京で大学新増設の抑制が行われるならば,東京圏への学生集中の緩和は,東京圏出身の女子や,北関東のような近隣の地方県の出身者の入学が減少することを通して実現する可能性がある.</p>

<p>  The background to this paper is a decline in the 18-year-old population in Japan as a whole, with the exception of the Tokyo metropolitan area. Against this background, the paper, on the basis of an analysis of the regional variations in the decision to progress to higher education, analyzes the potential impact on opportunities for higher education in Japan of a new public policy, currently under consideration, designed to regulate and influence the location of universities.</p><p>  Using the data in the School Basic Survey, an analysis of time series data by region puts the main focus on changes in the statistics of the traditional college-age population, the location of high schools from which all college entrants graduated, and the location of the colleges and universities in which they matriculated. The analysis suggests that if a new policy limiting the potential for the establishment or expansion of colleges and universities in Tokyo is implemented, the concentration of college students in the Tokyo metropolitan area might be mitigated by a decrease in female students from the Tokyo metropolitan area or in entrants from provincial areas near Tokyo such as Kita-Kanto.</p>

Journal

  • Japanese Journal of Higher Education Research

    Japanese Journal of Higher Education Research 20(0), 51-70, 2017

    Japanese Association of Higher Education Research

Codes

  • NII Article ID (NAID)
    130007649261
  • NII NACSIS-CAT ID (NCID)
    AA1125366X
  • Text Lang
    JPN
  • ISSN
    1344-0063
  • NDL Article ID
    028503987
  • NDL Call No.
    Z71-B438
  • Data Source
    NDL  J-STAGE 
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