STORM SURGE BY STOCHASTIC CYCLONE MODEL BASED ON LOCAL MAXIMUM DATA OF EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM

• NOBUOKA Hisamichi

  茨城大学 理工学研究科(工学野)

• EBINE Naoyuki

  茨城県土木部道路建設課

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 極大値資料に基づく確率的低気圧モデルよる高潮偏差に関する基礎的研究
• キョクダイチ シリョウ ニ モトズク カクリツテキ テイキアツ モデルヨル タカシオ ヘンサ ニ カンスル キソテキ ケンキュウ

Abstract

 On the Pacific coast of East Japan, extratropical low pressure system developed significantly and caused storm surge disasters several times. In this study, a probabilistic cyclone model was been constructing that can estimate largest class of storm surges of which return period is around 1000 years. By using all low pressure system track data for this construction, it is generally difficult to calculating powerful low pressure system. On the other hand, the low pressure simulated by the probabilistic low pressure model which used only strong low pressure becomes stronger than the past low pressure system, and become higher storm surge. In addition, the results of extreme value statistical analysis on storm surges showed a good relationship by using of past low pressure and probabilistic low pressure systems.

Journal

• Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

  Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 75 (2), I_253-I_258, 2019

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• low-pressure-system
• storm surge
• extreme value statistics
• maximum series data

Details

• CRID: 1390845702300482688
• NII Article ID: 40022084066
• NII Article ID: 130007730197
• DOI: 10.2208/kaigan.75.i_253
• ISSN: 18838944
• ISSN: 18842399
• NDL BIB ID: 030110216
• Web Site: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I030110216
• Web Site: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/kaigan/75/2/75_I_253/_pdf
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • NDL
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed