見通し指数の長期的定点観測

• 高橋 伸夫

  東京大学大学院経済学研究科

書誌事項

タイトル別名

• Long-Term Fixed-Point Observations of Perspective Index
• Long-Term Fixed-Point Observations of Perspective Index

抄録

This paper takes up data from a Japanese company with over 1,000 employees. We conduct a complete survey using an annual questionnaire and interviews with executives over a 12-year period from FY 2004 to FY 2015 with a large reorganization. The benefits of long-term fixed-point observations of perspective index are summarized as follows: (a) We can easily check for spurious correlations. (b) Changes in time series clarify the linkage between variables and reveal variables that are not explanatory variables. (c) The causal relationship appears only when the organization is greatly shaken and many variables change. (d) Even accidental events can be treated as social experiments. (e) In essence, there is an effect like the cohort effect that cannot be clarified without long-term fixed-point observation. However, if we do not devise a way to express fixed-point observational survey data in time series, no matter how much data is accumulated, it only means increasing the sample size in cross-sectional surveys.

収録刊行物

• 組織学会大会論文集

  組織学会大会論文集 8 (2), 7-13, 2019

  特定非営利活動法人 組織学会

キーワード

• perspective index
• long-term fixed-point observations
• spurious correlations
• causal relationship
• social experiments
• cohort effect

詳細情報

• CRID: 1390283659829959808
• NII論文ID: 130007768956
• DOI: 10.11207/taaos.8.2_7
• ISSN: 21868530
• 本文言語コード: ja
• データソース種別:
  • JaLC
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
  • Crossref
• 抄録ライセンスフラグ: 使用不可