書誌事項
- タイトル別名
-
- Short-Term Prediction of Foreign Exchange Rates by Collective Knowledge of Counterparty Banks
抄録
<p>Foreign-exchange (FX) brokers have some risk factors such as price fluctuation risk and latency of data transmission. To reduce these risks in FX brokerage services, we propose a short-term prediction of exchange rates quoted by counter-party banks. We consider that these exchange rates are generated by the knowledge of each counter-party bank, and therefore try to extract the knowledge by using a machine learning method. As a result, we could predict the direction of exchange rates with a prediction accuracy of about 80% if the prediction interval is 100[ms]. Furthermore, by integrating the knowledge of counterparty banks by the ensemble learning, we could improve not only prediction accuracy but also profitability of foreign-exchange brokers. These improvements can be considered as an effect of collective knowledge based on the diversity prediction theorem, but this effect might be limited by extremely short-term prediction of foreign-exchange rates after 100[ms]~200[ms].</p>
収録刊行物
-
- 信号処理
-
信号処理 24 (3), 113-122, 2020-05-15
信号処理学会
- Tweet
詳細情報 詳細情報について
-
- CRID
- 1390848250111214208
-
- NII論文ID
- 130007843053
-
- ISSN
- 18801013
- 13426230
-
- 本文言語コード
- en
-
- データソース種別
-
- JaLC
- Crossref
- CiNii Articles
- KAKEN
-
- 抄録ライセンスフラグ
- 使用不可