A BASIC STUDY ON STOCHASTIC TYPHOON MODEL BASED ON SELECTION OF DATA FOCUSING ON A TARGET AREA

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  • 対象地点に着目した資料による確率的台風モデルの基礎的研究
  • タイショウ チテン ニ チャクモク シタ シリョウ ニ ヨル カクリツテキ タイフウ モデル ノ キソテキ ケンキュウ

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Abstract

<p> A stochastic typhoon model expressed by the spatial distribution of statistics and probabilistic typhoon characters, can express the strongest typhoon by the best combination. This study examined the expression of a powerful typhoon by a modification of the stochastic typhoon model that created data from the population of typhoon best track data focusing on the target area, Tokyo Bay. The stochastic typhoon model based on the typhoons which passed in and around the Tokyo Bay, expressed the characteristic of low-central pressure of typhoon near the southern coast of Japan and also expressed larger storm surge in Tokyo Bay compareing with the previous models.</p>

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