Policy Issues, Direct Democracy, and Party Politics:

• Kubo Yoshiaki

  Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of the Ryukyus

• Okada Isamu

  Graduate School of International Development, Nagoya University

• Yanagi Itaru

  College of Law, Ritsumeikan University

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 政策争点・直接民主制・政党政治
• 政策争点・直接民主制・政党政治 : 2019年沖縄県民投票における投票行動
• セイサク ソウテン ・ チョクセツ ミンシュセイ ・ セイトウ セイジ : 2019ネン オキナワ ケンミン トウヒョウ ニ オケル トウヒョウ コウドウ
• An Analysis of Voting Behavior in the 2019 Okinawan Referendum
• ―2019年沖縄県民投票における投票行動

Abstract

In this article, we analyze voting behavior in the 2019 Okinawan referendum on the reclamation for constructing a U.S. military base with a framework which captures the endogenous relationship between preference formation and expression. Situating hypotheses on the local context, we tested the effects of policy attitudes, views regarding direct democracy, and party cues by multinomial logit analysis. The result by and large confirmed our assumptions. First, voters who perceive negative about the U.S. bases in Okinawa, positive about direct democracy, and support a “All Okinawa” party coalition, were likely to vote for “disagree.” Second, voters who stand positive about U.S. bases, negative about direct democracy, and support LDP, tended to vote for “agree” or abstained. The propensity overlap between voting for “agree” and abstention reflects the endogenous decision-making on indifferent choices by those who support reclamation as a status-quo. Third, voters who are faced with an inconsistency between anti-U.S. base policy attitude and party support for LDP were pressured to vote either “agree” or “disagree.” The results suggest that the interaction between representative and direct democracy affects expressed voters’ decisions on national security policies in modern Japanese politics.

Journal

• The Annuals of Japanese Political Science Association

  The Annuals of Japanese Political Science Association 71 (1), 1_82-1_105, 2020

  JAPANESE POLITICAL SCIENCE ASSOCIATION

Keywords

• 住民投票
• レファレンダム
• 投票行動
• 争点態度
• 政党キュー

Details

• CRID: 1390288448341553024
• NII Article ID: 130008053140
• NII Article ID: 40022306683
• NII Book ID: AN10341457
• DOI: 10.7218/nenpouseijigaku.71.1_82
• ISSN: 18843913
• ISSN: 18843921
• ISSN: 05494192
• NDL BIB ID: 030559962
• Web Site: http://id.ndl.go.jp/bib/030559962
• Web Site: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I030559962
• Web Site: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/nenpouseijigaku/71/1/71_1_82/_pdf
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • NDL
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed