Study on Economic and Power Generation Mix Impact by Early Phase Out of Nuclear and Coal Thermal Power Generation in Japan:

• Lee Soocheol

  Faculty of Economics, Meijo University

• He Yanmin

  Faculty of Economics, Otemon Gakuin University

• Suk Sunhee

  Graduate School of Fisheries and En vironmental Sciences, Nagasaki University

• Morotomi Toru

  Graduate School of Economics & Graduate School of Global Environmental Studies, Kyoto University

• Hirata Kimiko

  Kiko Network

• Chewpreecha Unnada

  Cambridge Econometrics

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• 石炭火力発電と原発早期フェーズアウトの2050年までの日本経済と電源構成，そして二酸化炭素排出への影響分析
• Analysis Using E3ME Macro-econometric Model
• ―E3MEマクロ計量経済モデルを用いた分析―

Abstract

This paper measures quantitative answers using a E3ME macro econometric model for the question “What kinds of impacts do early phasing-out of coal fired power and nuclear power plants on Japanese economy, power generation mix and CO₂ emissions in 2050?” Model simulation results show almost no negative impacts on the economy in either scenario, chiefly due to the assumed ongoing reduction in cost of renewable energy generation, as well as lack of burden on the economy in the event it replaces existing coal and nuclear power plants. Total estimated reduction in CO₂ emissions in 2050 associated with phasing out coal-fired power plants is 50％ compared to 2017. But this reduction falls far short of the level of Japanese 80％ GHG reduction target in 2050. This is believed to be caused by nuclear and coal fired power being replaced by LNG fired power rather than renewable energy.

Journal

• Review of Environmental Economics and Policy Studies

  Review of Environmental Economics and Policy Studies 14 (2), 1-12, 2021-09-26

  The Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies

Keywords

• coal-fired power and nuclear power early phase-out
• E3ME model
• power generation mix
• Japanese economic impact
• carbon dioxide emissions

Details

• CRID: 1390852870561036032
• NII Article ID: 130008113025
• DOI: 10.14927/reeps.14.2_1
• ISSN: 21882495
• ISSN: 18823742
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed