FUTURE CHANGES OF EXPLOSIVE CYCLONES AND THEIR IMPACT ON JAPANESE COASTAL WAVES USING MRI-AGCM 150-YEAR PROJECTION

• KOIKE Hironoshin

  ジェイアール西日本コンサルタンツ株式会社（元 京都大学大学院 社会基盤工学専攻）

• MORI Nobuhito

  京都大学 防災研究所

• SHIMURA Tomoya

  京都大学 防災研究所

• MIYASHITA Takuya

  京都大学 防災研究所

• NINOMIYA Junichi

  金沢大学 理工研究域地球社会基盤学系

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• MRI-AGCM150年予測を用いた気候変動に伴う爆弾低気圧の将来変化と日本沿岸波浪への影響
• MRI-AGCM150ネン ヨソク オ モチイタ キコウ ヘンドウ ニ トモナウ バクダン テイキアツ ノ ショウライ ヘンカ ト ニホン エンガン ハロウ エ ノ エイキョウ

Abstract

 In this study, we examined future changes of explosive cyclones around Japan and their effects on waves along the nation-wide coast using a seamless 150-year high-resolution climate projection from the present to the future climate under warming conditions. The climate projection showed that the number of intense explosive cyclones tends to increase in the future, and the average intensity also increases, and the path tends to shift to the north. In addition, there is a correlation between the trend of the monthly maximum significant wave height and the change in the intensity of explosive cyclones along the coast of Japan and the contribution of explosive cyclones to the annual maximum significant wave height will increase in the future.

Journal

• Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

  Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 77 (2), I_955-I_960, 2021

  Japan Society of Civil Engineers

Keywords

• explosive cyclone
• climate change
• extreme wave
• MRI-AGCM

Details

• CRID: 1390289940730478720
• NII Article ID: 40022782619
• NII Article ID: 130008113393
• DOI: 10.2208/kaigan.77.2_i_955
• ISSN: 18838944
• ISSN: 18842399
• NDL BIB ID: 031894971
• Web Site: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I031894971
• Web Site: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/kaigan/77/2/77_I_955/_pdf
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • NDL
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
  • KAKEN
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed