A Population Projection Model by Zone and Age Class Using Cohort Analysis and Housing Data Regression

• Kashiwadani Masuo

  Ehime University

• Asakura Yasuo

  Ehime University

Bibliographic Information

Other Title

• コーホート法と住宅ストック増減データとを用いた大都市圏内地区別年齢階級別人口推定法
• コーホートホウ ト ジュウタク ストック ゾウゲン データ ト オ モチイタ

Abstract

A POPULATION PROJECTION MODEL BY ZONE AND AGE CLASS IN A METROPOLITAN AREA IS PROPOSED IN THIS PAPER. IT IS A MIXED MODEL OF COHORT ANALYSIS AND A REGRESSION MODEL ON THE NUMBER OF HOUSES THAT HAVE INCREASED OR DECREASED IN THE ZONE. THE PROJECTION RESULT IN OSAKA METROPOLITAN AREA USING THIS MODEL IS BETTER THAN THE ONE BY ORDINARY COHORT ANALYSIS. IN PARTICULAR, THE PROJECTION ERROR OF THE MODEL IS MUCH SMALLER IN ZONES WHERE HOUSEHOLDS MOVE FREQUENTLY.

Journal

• Journal of the City Planning Institute of Japan

  Journal of the City Planning Institute of Japan 29 (0), 535-540, 1994-10-25

  The City Planning Institute of Japan

Keywords

• Population Projection
• Cohort Analysis
• Housing Pattern

Details

• CRID: 1390001288121171200
• NII Article ID: 130007589322
• NII Article ID: 10003877916
• NII Book ID: AN10276504
• DOI: 10.11361/journalcpij.29.535
• ISSN: 21850593
• ISSN: 09160647
• NDL BIB ID: 3596855
• Web Site: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I3596855
• Web Site: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/journalcpij/29/0/29_535/_pdf
• Text Lang: ja
• Data Source:
  • JaLC
  • NDL
  • Crossref
  • CiNii Articles
• Abstract License Flag: Disallowed