Does Party Support Explain Voting Behavior?

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  • 政党支持は投票行動を規定するのか
  • 政党支持は投票行動を規定するのか : サーベイ実験による長期的党派性の条件付け効果の検証
  • セイトウ シジ ワ トウヒョウ コウドウ オ キテイ スル ノ カ : サーベイ ジッケン ニ ヨル チョウキテキ トウハセイ ノ ジョウケン ズケ コウカ ノ ケンショウ
  • Examining the conditional effects of partisanship through survey experiments
  • ―サーベイ実験による長期的党派性の条件付け効果の検証―

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Abstract

<p>This article examines the influence of party support on voting behavior on the basis of survey experiments conducted in Japan. Contrary to previous studies arguing that party support has a strong influence on voting behavior, this paper indicates that the causal effect of party support on voting behavior is not strong. The results of three survey experiments in Osaka City and the Kansai area demonstrate the following findings. First, party labels may not be as important as heuristics for a large number of votes in Japan. Second, supporters of a specific political party do not always vote for a candidate supported by their own party. Particularly, supporters of Japan’s Liberal Democratic Party frequently voted for candidates belonging to other political parties. These findings imply that the influence of party support is not as strong as was mentioned in previous studies.</p>

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