Bayesian analysis and uncertainty in economic theory
Author(s)
Bibliographic Information
Bayesian analysis and uncertainty in economic theory
Chapman and Hall, 1987
Available at 22 libraries
  Aomori
  Iwate
  Miyagi
  Akita
  Yamagata
  Fukushima
  Ibaraki
  Tochigi
  Gunma
  Saitama
  Chiba
  Tokyo
  Kanagawa
  Niigata
  Toyama
  Ishikawa
  Fukui
  Yamanashi
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  Gifu
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  Kyoto
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  Hyogo
  Nara
  Wakayama
  Tottori
  Shimane
  Okayama
  Hiroshima
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  Tokushima
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  Ehime
  Kochi
  Fukuoka
  Saga
  Nagasaki
  Kumamoto
  Oita
  Miyazaki
  Kagoshima
  Okinawa
  Korea
  China
  Thailand
  United Kingdom
  Germany
  Switzerland
  France
  Belgium
  Netherlands
  Sweden
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  United States of America
Note
Bibliography: p. 189-198
Includes indexes
Description and Table of Contents
Description
We began this research with the objective of applying Bayesian methods of analysis to various aspects of economic theory. We were attracted to the Bayesian approach because it seemed the best analytic framework available for dealing with decision making under uncertainty, and the research presented in this book has only served to strengthen our belief in the appropriateness and usefulness of this methodology. More specif- ically, we believe that the concept of organizational learning is funda- mental to decision making under uncertainty in economics and that the Bayesian framework is the most appropriate for developing that concept. The central and unifying theme of this book is decision making under uncertainty in microeconomic theory. Our fundamental aim is to explore the ways in which firms and households make decisions and to develop models that have a strong empirical connection. Thus, we have attempted to contribute to economic theory by formalizing models of the actual pro- cess of decision making under uncertainty. Bayesian methodology pro- vides the appropriate vehicle for this formalization.
Table of Contents
1 Introduction.- 2 Bayesian Decision Theory.- 3 Behavioral and Control Theory of the Firm.- 4 Bayesian Analysis and Duopoly Theory.- 5 Multiperiod Decision Models with Alternating Choice as a Solution to the Duopoly Problem.- 6 Cooperation and Learning in a Duopoly Context.- 7 Interfirm Learning and the Kinked Demand Curve.- 8 Sequential Strategies in Dual Control Problems.- 9 Adaptive Utility.- 10 Some Examples of Adaptive Utility.- 11 Sequential Investment Decisions.- 12 Capital Allocation within Firms.- 13 Rational Expectations.- 14 Epilogue.- References.- Author Index.
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