Risk analysis for large projects : models, methods, and cases
著者
書誌事項
Risk analysis for large projects : models, methods, and cases
Wiley, c1987
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注記
Bibliography: p.256-257
Includes index
内容説明・目次
内容説明
Recent decades have been characterised by a vast proliferation of risk. The real scale of projects and investment programmes has expanded dramatically, increasingly intractable resources have been developed, and economic instability in growth rates and prices has become endemic. Within this uncertain and volatile environment the need for risk analysis of potential projects and investments has increased. "Risk Analysis for Large Projects" considers what risk analysis is, the nature of the risk engineering approach to risk analysis, where risk analysis might be necessary and some of the benefits which arise from its use. Risk is evaluated through both models and case studies.
目次
- Introduction to Risk Analysis
- Basic Approaches to Risk Analysis
- CIM Models for Independent Risks
- Case Study: Reliability Analysis of an LNG Facility
- Case Study: Choosing a River Crossing Method
- Eliciting Subjective Probabilities for Risk Analysis
- CIM Models for Dependent Risks
- Case Study: Project Costs
- Case Study: Construction Cost Estimate and Contingency
- CIM Models for Structural Dependence
- CIM Models for Processes through Time
- Economic Risk Evaluation for Large Projects
- Some More General Reflections on Risk Analysis Applications
- An Overview: Selecting an Approach to Project Time and Cost Planning
- Glossary of Terms
- Bibliography
- Index.
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